Despite a rebounding economy, fertility among young women and the less educated continues to fall. Demographic Intelligence has released the July edition of their U.S. Fertility Forecast in which this trend is evaluated. See a press release regarding the new forecast here.
Sex is down in America. For both teenagers and young adults, sex is in decline, according to a new article by Demographic Intelligence President Samuel Sturgeon published in Politico. The share of young adults aged 18-30 who reported no sex jumped from around 10 percent a decade ago to 18 percent in 2014-2016. This decline in [...]
The New York Times cites Demographic Intelligence in an article that explores the unique state of the U.S. Fertility rate. Although the fertility rate is at a record low, there are segments of women who are reversing decades of trends of not being mothers. Read the full article here.
Expectations and rationale for the decreasing U.S. birth rate are discussed in the Deseret News article “Why isn’t America having a baby boom right now?” Demographic Intelligence president, Samuel Sturgeon, is quoted as saying births will have dropped by 2.8 percent by the end of this year to 3.84 million. The predicted fertility rate of [...]
The National Review highlights findings from Demographic Intelligence regarding the decrease in births this year. The article mentions the traditionally consistent relationship between the economy and childbearing and how the current circumstances are not fitting with traditional expectations. Their article “Where Are the Recovery Babies? can be read here.
The Washington Examiner cites Demographic Intelligence in an article that states the total fertility rate will drop to its lowest level in three decades. The surprising decline and possible causes are discussed. Read the full article here. Â
The November edition of the U.S. Fertility Forecast addresses a marked decrease in 2017 births despite a growing economy and rising young adult employment. This decline coincides with a decline in sex among young adults, which may be in part due to the rising popularity of smartphones and social media as well as a reluctance [...]
Over the last 25 years, the fertility rate in the United States has generally hewed close to the replacement total fertility rate (TFR) of 2.1 children per woman, with slight deviations in response to the business cycle. This means that the U.S. has enjoyed exceptionally high fertility for a developed nation. But Demographic Intelligence (DI) [...]
The China Fertility Forecast 2016 Baseline Report has been released by Demographic Intelligence. This report includes detailed projections for 2014 to 2017 and national projections for Chinese births from 2015 to 2030. See full press release here.
Demographic Intelligence has released its first-ever fertility forecasts for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. The forecasts provide detailed birth estimates for 2014 through 2017 as well as a long term forecast through 2030 which is based on three economic scenarios. In the United States, the DI model generated projections that have typically been more than [...]
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